Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 10.852834 12.390589 14.074904 16.057722 18.329591 20.853101 23.871307
2026-01-18 8.502183 10.451533 12.752655 15.673384 19.288132 23.623337 29.230066
2026-01-25 7.149880 9.262672 11.893092 15.416221 20.024297 25.864320 33.856384
2026-02-01 6.186016 8.366136 11.201571 15.171228 20.605786 27.815185 38.155631
2026-02-08 5.440122 7.636224 10.602563 14.918308 21.066126 29.553375 42.237439
2026-02-15 4.839857 7.022840 10.072747 14.665483 21.445205 31.146198 46.191316
2026-02-22 4.593055 6.873567 10.161483 15.274215 23.077144 34.623126 53.163277
2026-03-01 4.282660 6.592908 10.021150 15.511841 24.152618 37.340253 59.208582
2026-03-08 3.940385 6.226789 9.711451 15.447478 24.735292 39.324628 64.253886
2026-03-15 3.627419 5.874585 9.386335 15.317736 25.183088 41.106241 69.096710
2026-03-22 3.486099 5.781695 9.457454 15.823319 26.691635 44.704496 77.257528
2026-03-29 3.340093 5.666132 9.477705 16.237997 28.070760 48.184129 85.508564
2026-04-05 3.219913 5.586761 9.555705 16.764878 29.701913 52.256738 95.239879
2026-04-12 2.951588 5.229176 9.130930 16.376517 29.683627 53.437132 99.840673
2026-04-19 2.730417 4.935517 8.791684 16.107074 29.846516 54.937589 105.145822
2026-04-26 2.533015 4.667998 8.476239 15.850775 30.003588 56.425190 110.538692
2026-05-03 2.353060 4.417744 8.171526 15.586177 30.115739 57.824460 115.865238
2026-05-10 2.189514 4.185101 7.880696 15.321683 30.200013 59.165288 121.177154
2026-05-17 2.155213 4.196195 8.048128 15.958518 32.107849 64.224135 134.551203
2026-05-24 2.074651 4.110455 8.022166 16.207124 33.250254 67.836996 145.218279
2026-05-31 1.963407 3.955107 7.847909 16.139787 33.733574 70.133900 153.261445
2026-06-07 1.853176 3.793430 7.648809 16.004050 34.058899 72.120093 160.792645
2026-06-14 1.819724 3.786854 7.762534 16.533001 35.844898 77.350805 176.062035